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So lets discuss.
Contains: Violence, Nudity, Explicit Sexual Content, Beating, Torture, Hitting, Stripping, Cattle Prod, Bottle Rape, Electricity, Forced Orgasm, Suspension, Rape, Forced Sex, Lift Up Hanging, Asphyxia, Dragging.
He kills the camera person, then takes her deeper into his hide out.
This movie shot and presented in stunning High Definition 1280X720 HD MP4 Format.(some people argue that LW-style rationality is how to get power up rewards card number a bad idea, because you cant really think with probabilities.This certainly isnt to say we all need to get off at the first station.That argues, in the judgment of Bostrom and others, for prioritizing efforts to prevent human extinction above other endeavors.But for now I want to discuss a specific argument of Matthews.Some people go further than.
I respect those who give more.
Sure, youre pulling numbers out of your ass, but even your ass has some standards.
Other people go less far.Matthews is firmly underneath the effective-altruist tent.Existential risk isnt the most useful public face for effective altruism everyone incuding Eliezer Yudkowsky agrees about that.If you don't see the movie you want, request it on my forum.Trump is 10-4, and the chance of an election ending in an electoral tie about 10-2.To take that number seriously is to assert that the second scenario is ten times more likely than the first!On the other hand, Matthews thinks its perfectly reasonable to throw out numbers like 10-66 when talking about the effect of x-risk donations.Effective altruists need to stop talking about animals if they ever want to attract anybody besides white males into the movement.But of course each one finds that when the train comes to their station, why, it speeds past that one too, and they are left to rage impotently at the unfairness.But then when you pull numbers out of your ass, it turns out not.

Matthews correctly notes that this argument often called Pascals Wager or Pascals Mugging is on very shaky philosophical ground.
I also respect those who give less.
Nevertheless, this is what Matthews wants to discuss.


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